2020 Presidential Polling Average
National Average: Biden +9.0
Updated: August 27, 2:30 PM CST
UPDATE: My Mac with all the code on it crashed permanently, so I was unable to update this post August 27th.
Presidential Polling Average by Mode and Poll Rating
Live Caller Polling
National Average: Biden +8.9
Online Polling
National Average: Biden +9.1
High Quality Pollsters (Rated by 538)
National Average: Biden +10.3
Electoral College Leans
270 Electoral College Votes is Necessary to Win
Ratings Map:
About the Map and Methodology:
The map is not a forecast to be clear, it is simply a four part mix of polls, it tries to just be a Robust Polling Average.
50% Polling of Each State
10% PVI Adj Polling Average of Region ((State PVI-Region PVI)+Regional Polling Margin)
20% PVI Adj Polling Average of ALL 50 States (State PVI + All State Polling Margin)
20% PVI Adj National Polling Average with Elasticity (State PVI + National Polling Margin)
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How Hillary Clinton Polling at this
Time Compares To Joe Biden
CREDIT: Thanks to FiveThirtyEight for making polls easy to download, 2012 and 2016 polls were hand inputted from RealClearPolitics.com and also USElectionAtlas.com
I used RStudio with Plotly to create the maps.
Here is a link to polls I used, feel free to use it! (I use an excel to RStudio not Google Sheets but it was the easiest way to share)