2020 Presidential Polling Average

National Average: Biden +9.0

Updated: August 27, 2:30 PM CST

UPDATE: My Mac with all the code on it crashed permanently, so I was unable to update this post August 27th.

Presidential Polling Average by Mode and Poll Rating

Live Caller Polling

National Average: Biden +8.9

Online Polling

National Average: Biden +9.1

High Quality Pollsters (Rated by 538)

National Average: Biden +10.3

Electoral College Leans

270 Electoral College Votes is Necessary to Win

Ratings Map:

About the Map and Methodology:

The map is not a forecast to be clear, it is simply a four part mix of polls, it tries to just be a Robust Polling Average.

  • 50% Polling of Each State

  • 10% PVI Adj Polling Average of Region ((State PVI-Region PVI)+Regional Polling Margin)

  • 20% PVI Adj Polling Average of ALL 50 States (State PVI + All State Polling Margin)

  • 20% PVI Adj National Polling Average with Elasticity (State PVI + National Polling Margin)

———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————

How Hillary Clinton Polling at this

Time Compares To Joe Biden


CREDIT: Thanks to FiveThirtyEight for making polls easy to download, 2012 and 2016 polls were hand inputted from RealClearPolitics.com and also USElectionAtlas.com

I used RStudio with Plotly to create the maps.


Here is a link to polls I used, feel free to use it! (I use an excel to RStudio not Google Sheets but it was the easiest way to share)